Geopolitical risk backdrop
Geopolitical risk backdrop
Geopolitical risk backdrop

Quantifying Geopolitical Risk

The World's First End-to-End Conflict Risk Model
What we do

Silfio quantifies geopolitical risk using statistical models with real-time AI-driven sentiment analysis, giving key business decision-makers the insight they need to act with confidence. Its lightning-fast model turns portfolio inputs into actionable results in moments. Explore our solutions or contact us for more information.

Risk Intelligence

Stay up-to-date with the current geopolitical climate.

Learn what signals drive our model estimates of conflict.

Analyst briefing
Loading live briefing questions...

A clear methodology for translating conflict risk into financial loss.

Silfio breaks geopolitical risk into a traceable chain: events, severities, inventory, vulnerability, investment shocks, then financial loss.

See the model path rather than a black-box score.
Override assumptions for scenario testing.
Export portfolio, asset, and conflict summaries for review.
Read the methodology
EL
$385K
VaR
$2.1M
TVaR
$4.8M
Practical Applications

Practical Applications

Apply conflict risk intelligence to core business decisions.

Capital and Regulatory Models

Incorporate stochastic outputs into solvency, stress testing, and capital adequacy assessments.

Insurance Pricing

Price policies with a clearer view of conflict-driven exposure.

Investment & Trading Decisions

Assess conflict risk premium in the current geopolitical climate.

Enterprise Risk Management

Enhance risk monitoring processes and board reporting.

Downstream Models

Feed supply chain, commodities, and operational risk models.

Frequently Asked Questions